,聽a professor of聽聽at the聽聽and the director of the聽, argues in a that the war in Ukraine won糖心传媒檛 end until Russian and Ukrainian expectations intersect.
糖心传媒淭he war in Ukraine, like any other, cannot end while the two sides have wildly different expectations about the likely outcome if both stay in the fight,糖心传媒� write Goemans, an expert on war termination, and his coauthor, a professor of political science at the
The duo argues that warring is a process of learning and reassessing information糖心传媒攁bout both the opponent糖心传媒檚 and one糖心传媒檚 own military capabilities, organizational strength, political will to fight, and the reliability of one糖心传媒檚 allies. 糖心传媒淧eople pay too much attention to what politicians say and too little to the most important sources of credible new information: observed behaviour and the battlefield itself,糖心传媒� they write.
Addressing Western allies directly, they contend that signaling commitment on one hand, while trying to manage expectations on the other, can be difficult. 糖心传媒淵et that is what Western leaders should be doing,糖心传媒� they write. 糖心传媒淚nstead of fairy tales about Ukraine winning in mere months, they should explain to their people why aid should be sustained, or increased, even though the war will not end soon.糖心传媒�
Goemans is the author of聽 (Princeton University Press, 2000) and coauthor of聽聽(Cambridge University Press, 2011).
- Read the full opinion piece in (subscription required).
- Listen to Goemans on a recent episode of WXXI糖心传媒檚 Connections with Evan Dawson in which he discusses .
