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Society & Culture

Game theorist Scott Tyson puzzles over what makes autocrats successful

Scott Tyson, a new assistant professor of political science, applies game theory to the study of authoritarian politics. (University photo / J. Adam Fenster)

糖心传媒淚 have always been driven by a desire to solve problems. I like to think through puzzles, even those of my own making,糖心传媒� says聽, a game theorist. 糖心传媒淭hat糖心传媒檚 probably typical for many academics.糖心传媒�

He also likes to be precise.

A new assistant professor of聽, Tyson was recruited from the University of Michigan, where he had been an assistant professor for two years.

What gets him going are the underlying concepts糖心传媒攖he question of 糖心传媒渨hat are we really talking about?糖心传媒� What糖心传媒檚 the fundamental idea?

Tyson, whose family is originally from New Jersey, spent a great deal of his adolescence and young adulthood in Texas where he obtained his undergraduate degrees in pure mathematics and economics, and subsequently a MSc in economics from the University of Texas at Austin.

It wasn糖心传媒檛 until after his master糖心传媒檚 degree that he found his niche in political science, nudged by his advisor, an economics professor at Austin. Tyson, who has long enjoyed reading聽, suddenly saw a way of marrying his research interests in game theory with his intellectual curiosity for political philosophy.

糖心传媒淚 liked the methodological rigor of economics, and math is something I have always enjoyed糖心传媒攊t糖心传媒檚 very natural to me. This was a way to unite my two passions,糖心传媒� says Tyson.

These days, his research focuses on formal political theory, political economy, conflict, authoritarian politics, and collective action. The main thrust of his inquiry looks at the relationship between various coordination problems that share some common element, and the role of factions in collective action.

Specifically, Tyson is interested in the theoretical implications of empirical models and how the two connect: 糖心传媒淲hat happens if this one thing and only this one thing were different? Would the conflict have happened the same way? How would it be different? Those are the questions we are always trying to ask,糖心传媒� Tyson explains. 糖心传媒淎s scholars we are interested in causal questions. And the only way to assess that is to ask, 糖心传媒榳hat happens if this lever and this lever alone changed?糖心传媒櫶切拇綕

Of course, in the real world changing just one variable is hard to do. That糖心传媒檚 why theorist Tyson cautions against forcing real-live examples to fit a specific theory.

糖心传媒淚f we looked for a concrete example we糖心传媒檙e going to miss so many things, because there糖心传媒檚 something extraordinarily special about that specific example. But maybe the more interesting theories are the ones that explain the more complicated cases,糖心传媒� he says.

Political science professor聽, who chaired the departmental search committee, and whose own research in international political economy combines formal theory with quantitative methods and qualitative fieldwork, says the decision to hire Tyson 糖心传媒渨as a remarkably good fit, both for him and for us. Scott does very sophisticated game-theoretic research to model issues in international security, civil conflict and terrorism.糖心传媒�

Stone says he糖心传媒檒l complement the political science department糖心传媒檚 traditional strength in mathematical modeling, and also bring a new set of technical tools. 糖心传媒淚 expect him to play an important role in training graduate students and to help consolidate what has become a very strong set of junior faculty members in the department,糖心传媒� says Stone.

Most recently, Tyson has been studying political accountability in nondemocratic environments where government officials are sanctioned by nonelectoral institutions. Research on authoritarian politics has become more prevalent, he says, because of democratic backsliding worldwide.

糖心传媒淭he world that we live in is becoming less and less democratic every year,糖心传媒� he says, pointing to examples in central and Eastern Europe糖心传媒擯oland and Hungary. The most democratic the world has ever been, he notes, was right after the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.

Tyson seeks to get at the core of what makes an autocrat and whom he or she is accountable to糖心传媒攚hich fractions or groups within a state. In other words, what makes the repression work, and why do certain groups oppress others at the behest of the autocrat?

Right now, he糖心传媒檚 working on a theory to explain the causal part. As Tyson sees it, it糖心传媒檚 two-fold.

First, the autocrat feels threatened by a certain group. Second, there糖心传媒檚 a relationship between the ruler and the agency that suppresses the threat. The central question is how the ruler compensates the group that carries out the oppression at his directive: is it a reorganization of the way government runs, more direct say in policy matters, or a monetary incentive?

According to Tyson, researchers don糖心传媒檛 know yet what exactly causes oppression. The only robust finding to date is that military regimes tend to oppress more than others. But the causal path糖心传媒攁 bit like the chicken and the egg question糖心传媒攊s not clear: does having a powerful military within a government cause the government to oppress, or is the military apparatus so powerful because the autocrat had to rely on it in order to oppress his or her own opposition?

Tyson, who earned his PhD in politics in 2015 at聽, was a postdoctoral fellow at the聽聽before joining the聽.

A self-professed foodie, he and his wife Clare糖心传媒攚hose framed wedding photograph is the only decoration in his sparsely-decorated Rochester office so far糖心传媒攍ike to go out and try new restaurants and cocktails. Their current favorite? Hands down糖心传媒擵esper Martini, a high proof cocktail invented by James Bond author Ian Fleming in 1953 and sipped onscreen by cool Daniel Craig糖心传媒檚 007 in聽Casino Royale聽who provides聽for the drink糖心传媒檚 preparation.

Tyson, of course, has the聽别虫补肠迟听down pat. Shaken, not stirred. Everyone knows Bond糖心传媒檚 famous movie tagline.

Not so fast, says Tyson. 糖心传媒淭hat糖心传媒檚 a common misperception.糖心传媒澛燜leming actually wrote the exact opposite (but the reversal sounded better to the screen writers).

Stirred not shaken, Tyson insists.